{"id":17915,"date":"2021-01-03T14:09:00","date_gmt":"2021-01-03T20:09:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/intranet2.valpo.edu\/cital\/?post_type=professorial_lecture&#038;p=17915"},"modified":"2025-02-20T14:09:53","modified_gmt":"2025-02-20T20:09:53","slug":"the-law-of-unintended-consequences-in-epidemiology","status":"publish","type":"professorial_lecture","link":"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/professorial-lecture\/the-law-of-unintended-consequences-in-epidemiology\/","title":{"rendered":"The Law of Unintended Consequences in Epidemiology"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>One goal of mathematical modeling of infectious diseases is to predict the outcome of an epidemic and to simulate the effect of various intervention measures: vaccination, treatment or quarantine. In some cases, these measures can cause detrimental side effects that diminish or even counteract their intended purpose: the reduction and\/or the eradication of the disease.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In this presentation I will describe the basic concepts of epidemic modeling followed by several scenarios in which vaccination and treatment lead to risk compensation with detrimental effects in the evolution of the epidemic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One goal of mathematical modeling of infectious diseases is to predict the outcome of an epidemic and to simulate the effect of various intervention measures: vaccination, treatment or quarantine. In some cases, these measures can cause detrimental side effects that diminish or even counteract their intended purpose: the reduction and\/or the eradication of the disease.&nbsp;&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":5652,"template":"","academic_year":[173],"class_list":["post-17915","professorial_lecture","type-professorial_lecture","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","academic_year-2021-2022"],"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2024\/10\/Picture3-4.png",81,99,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2024\/10\/Picture3-4.png",81,99,false],"medium":["https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2024\/10\/Picture3-4.png",81,99,false],"medium_large":["https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2024\/10\/Picture3-4.png",81,99,false],"large":["https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2024\/10\/Picture3-4.png",81,99,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2024\/10\/Picture3-4.png",81,99,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2024\/10\/Picture3-4.png",81,99,false],"Profile":["https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2024\/10\/Picture3-4.png",81,99,false]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"heather.bricker@valpo.edu","author_link":"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/author\/heather-brickervalpo-edu\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"One goal of mathematical modeling of infectious diseases is to predict the outcome of an epidemic and to simulate the effect of various intervention measures: vaccination, treatment or quarantine. In some cases, these measures can cause detrimental side effects that diminish or even counteract their intended purpose: the reduction and\/or the eradication of the disease.&nbsp;&hellip;","featured_img":"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2024\/10\/Picture3-4.png","coauthors":[],"author_meta":{"author_link":"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/author\/heather-brickervalpo-edu\/","display_name":"heather.bricker@valpo.edu"},"relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 5 years ago","modified":"Updated 1 year ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on January 3, 2021","modified":"Updated on February 20, 2025"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on January 3, 2021 2:09 pm","modified":"Updated on February 20, 2025 2:09 pm"},"featured_img_caption":"","tax_additional":{"academic_year":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/academic-year\/2021-2022\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">2021-2022<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">2021-2022<\/span>"],"slug":"academic_year","name":"Academic Years"}},"series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/professorial_lecture\/17915","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/professorial_lecture"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/professorial_lecture"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/professorial_lecture\/17915\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17916,"href":"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/professorial_lecture\/17915\/revisions\/17916"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5652"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17915"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"academic_year","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/intra.valpo.edu\/cital\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/academic_year?post=17915"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}